What's up, 2025? Goodbye, hawks?

From my response to Facebook chats etcetera.

JOE Biden and the Washington hawks messed things up in just four years. And these wars are still burning. Donald Trump? Let's see. 2016 was far different from 2024. Joe is hawkish; Donald is mostly dovish. That matters, sure, but the powers (BRICS mainly) that Washington faces right now aren't dumb and they got the (trade) leverage. 

       President Biden's U.S. representation just vetoed a new UN. ceasefire resolution in Gaza etcetera as Joe okayed a new Ukraine offensive with American-procured weapons vs Russia, few days after Vladimir Putin talked with Berlin's Olaf Scholz. Mr Biden leaves these rubble and ruin to The D. Forget the collateral damage?

       But let's see how T plays ball this time. He already provoked some SNL-styled ruckus via his fantastic pre-hires (to get his haters busy) as he obviously strategizes in the backroom with his POTUS part 2 guys, Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy. 

       My dots: Mr Musk recently met with Iran's U.N. ambassador Amir Saeid Iravani in New York. I believe it was more economic than political. Note: China is Iran's top trade partner. Tehran's new moderate leadership doesn't want a war; economic recovery has been hobbling. 

       Elon and China? It's no brainer. Elon wants their silicon. Vivek, think India. (China and India just shook hands per border dispute.) Of course, the Left would be ecstatic if Trump fails. But I dig watching. ☮️☮️☮️

MY angle: China is Iran's top oil/natural gas buyer. But China doesn't like wars (at least from the Deng Xiaoping years, post-Mao). Bad for business or the CCP's trade expansionism (refer to Belt and Road Initiative).

       Meanwhile, Tehran's moderate leadership, regardless of the Supreme old man, is pressured to fix the economy. Mr Musk has a huge factory in Shanghai. But China's BYD rules the global overall EV market though Elon's Tesla is #1 per brand name. He can't really compete with BYD since China got the silicon (BRICS buddy Russia is #2 in silicon production). 

       So if Elon Musk can help cool the war's heat in the Middle East, everybody will be happy. (Elon gets Chinese silicon as well. Meanwhile, Tehran isn't really hot and high on Mr Trump's mouth. So send Elon and Vivek instead.) ☮️☮️☮️